Demis Hassabis, the CEO of Google DeepMind, believes that artificial general intelligence (AGI) will start to emerge in the next five to 10 years. He defines AGI as a system that can exhibit all the complicated capabilities that humans have. However, other tech leaders, such as Dario Amodei, suggest that AGI could appear sooner, with some even predicting a form of AGI could arrive as soon as this year.
The main challenge in achieving AGI involves getting AI systems to understand context from the real world. While systems can excel at completing tasks in games like Go, transitioning this technology to the real world is proving to be difficult. One way to advance towards AGI is through the development of “multi-agent” AI systems, which are gaining traction behind the scenes.
DeepMind has been working on projects like teaching AI agents to play Starcraft to explore agent-to-agent communication and cooperation. By allowing agents to express their skills and tools, it will create a more advanced interface for communication and cooperation among AI systems.
Overall, the timeline for AGI’s emergence varies among experts, with some predicting it within the next few years while others believe it will take longer. The development of AI systems that can comprehend and respond to the real world will be crucial in achieving AGI.
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